Article

Risk-Free Rate

August 22, 2026 · Aditya Gupta

Economics

The risk-free rate is the theoretical return on an investment with zero risk of default — empirically proxied by short-term US Treasury bills (T-Bills), considered the safest investment globally. Currently ~4-5% for 3-month T-Bills. The risk-free rate is the foundation of finance: it sets the discount rate for valuing future cash flows and the baseline for expected returns. Required return on any risky investment = Risk-Free Rate + Risk Premium. Falling risk-free rates inflate all asset prices (lower discount rates increase present value); rising rates compress prices. The 2022-2023 risk-free rate spike from 0% to 5%+ explains much of the broad asset declines that year.

Finance

Related terms

Back to the finance glossary