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Stagflation

August 22, 2026 · Aditya Gupta

Economics

Stagflation is the combination of stagnant economic growth (often with high unemployment) and high inflation — the worst of both worlds. Standard Keynesian theory predicted inflation and unemployment moved opposite directions (Phillips Curve), but stagflation refuted this. The 1970s US experienced classic stagflation triggered by oil shocks and loose monetary policy. Central banks struggle with stagflation — raising rates cools inflation but worsens unemployment; cutting rates stimulates growth but worsens inflation. The 2022 energy spikes raised stagflation fears but the US largely avoided it. Stagflation typically requires structural shocks (supply disruptions, energy crises) rather than just demand fluctuations.

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